Do Credit Shocks Matter? A Global Perspective

Thomas Helbling, Ayhan Kose, Christopher Otrok and Raju Huidrom

No 2010/261, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: This paper examines the importance of credit market shocks in driving global business cycles over the period 1988:1-2009:4. We first estimate common components in various macroeconomic and financial variables of the G-7 countries. We then evaluate the role played by credit market shocks using a series of VAR models. Our findings suggest that these shocks have been influential in driving global activity during the latest global recession. Credit shocks originating in the United States also have a significant impact on the evolution of world growth during global recessions.

Keywords: WP; credit shock; productivity shock; business cycle; credit market (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 37
Date: 2010-11-01
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (55)

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Journal Article: Do credit shocks matter? A global perspective (2011)
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