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External Imbalances in the Euro Area

Ruo Chen, Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti () and Thierry Tressel

No 2012/236, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: The paper examines the extent to which current account imbalances of euro area countries are related to intra-euro area factors and to external trade shocks. We argue that the traditional explanations for the rising imbalances are correct, but are incomplete. We uncover a large impact of declines in export competitiveness and asymmetric trade developments vis-à-vis the rest of the world –in particular vis-à-vis China, Central and Eastern Europe, and oil exporters- on the external balance of euro area debtor countries. While current account imbalances of euro area deficit countries vis-à-vis the rest of the world increased, they were financed mostly by intra-euro area capital inflows (in particular by the purchase of government and financial institutions’ securities, and cross-border interbank lending) which permitted external imbalances to grow over time.

Keywords: WP; euro; area country; export; debtor country; euro area; external imbalances; financial integration; terms of trade shocks; area debtor countries; demand elasticity; terms of trade; area export; Exports; Real exchange rates; Imports; Trade balance; Demand elasticity; Asia and Pacific; Southern Europe (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 49
Date: 2012-09-28
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (111)

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