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Distributional Consequences of Fiscal Consolidation and the Role of Fiscal Policy: What Do the Data Say?

Jaejoon Woo (), Tidiane Kinda (), Yuanyan Zhang and Elva Bova

No 2013/195, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: The 2007-09 Great Recession has led to an unprecedented increase in public debt in many countries, triggering substantial fiscal adjustments. What are the distributional consequences of fiscal austerity measures? This is an important policy question. This paper analyzes the effects of fiscal policies on income inequality in a panel of advanced and emerging market economies over the last three decades, complemented by a case study of selected consolidation episodes. The paper shows that fiscal consolidations are likely to raise inequality through various channels including their effects on unemployment. Spending-based consolidations tend to worsen inequality more significantly, relative to tax-based consolidations. The composition of austerity measures also matters: progressive taxation and targeted social benefits and subsidies introduced in the context of a broader decline in spending can help offset some of the adverse distributional impact of consolidation. In addition, fiscal policy can favorably influence long-term trends in both inequality and growth by promoting education and training among low- and middle-income workers.

Keywords: WP; income; Gini coefficient; Inequality; Fiscal Consolidation; Fiscal Policy; Tax and Spending policy; inequality data; market income; income share; wage bill; income equality; low income; simple average; incomes database; correlation coefficient; order of magnitude; determinants of income inequality; income Gini coefficient; Income inequality; Income distribution; Disposable income; Personal income; Europe; Global; Sub-Saharan Africa; Western Europe; Asia and Pacific (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 37
Date: 2013-09-17
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