Employment Impacts of Upstream Oil and Gas Investment in the United States

Mark Agerton, Peter Hartley, Kenneth Medlock and Ted Loch Temzelides

No 2015/028, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: Technological progress in the exploration and production of oil and gas during the 2000s has led to a boom in upstream investment and has increased the domestic supply of fossil fuels. It is unknown, however, how many jobs this boom has created. We use time-series methods at the national level and dynamic panel methods at the state-level to understand how the increase in exploration and production activity has impacted employment. We find robust statistical support for the hypothesis that changes in drilling for oil and gas as captured by rig-counts do in fact, have an economically meaningful and positive impact on employment. The strongest impact is contemporaneous, though months later in the year also experience statistically and economically meaningful growth. Once dynamic effects are accounted for, we estimate that an additional rig-count results in the creation of 37 jobs immediately and 224 jobs in the long run, though our robustness checks suggest that these multipliers could be bigger.

Keywords: WP; job creation; Employment; employment impact; employment growth; state employment; boom state; employment response; employment multiplier; employment consequence; employment activity; Oil prices; Oil; Agroindustries; North America (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 36
Date: 2015-02-11
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=42702 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Employment impacts of upstream oil and gas investment in the United States (2017)
Working Paper: Employment Impacts of Upstream Oil and Gas Investment in the United States (2014)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2015/028

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/pubs/ord_info.htm

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Akshay Modi ().