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Value of WTO Trade Agreements in a New Keynesian Model

Giovanni Ganelli and Juha Tervala

No 2015/037, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: We revisit the question of the quantitative benefits of WTO trade agreements in a setup that is non-standard from the traditional trade policy point of view. We show that in a New Keynesian model, unilateral trade liberalization reduces welfare due to terms-of-trade deterioration, creating an incentive for a trade agreement. For realistic parameter values, the value of an agreement, which cuts tariffs by one percentage point, is 0.5% to 2% of consumption, much larger than in trade models. The intuition for this result hinges on some New Keynesian features of our framework, such as imperfect competition and endogenous labor supply.

Keywords: WP; trade agreement; terms of trade; price index; Tariffs; terms of trade theory; trade liberalization; WTO; tariff reduction; WTO trade agreement; tariff rate; welfare gain; Trade agreements; Consumption; Labor supply; Global (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 35
Date: 2015-02-25
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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