Fiscal Councils: Rationale and Effectiveness

Roel Beetsma and Xavier Debrun

No 2016/086, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: The paper discusses the effectiveness of independent fiscal institutions—or fiscal councils—in taming the deficit bias that emerged in the 1970s. After a review of the main theoretical arguments and recent trends about fiscal councils, we develop a stylized model showing how a fiscal council can effectively mitigate the deficit bias even though it has no direct lever on the conduct of fiscal policy. We show that the capacity of the fiscal council to improve the public’s understanding of the quality of fiscal policy contributes to better align voters and policymakers’ incentives and to tame the deficit bias affecting well-intended governments. After mapping the model’s key features into a broad set of criteria likely to contribute to the effectiveness of a fiscal council, we use the 2014 vintage of the IMF dataset on independent fiscal institutions to assess whether existing institutions have been built to work.

Keywords: WP; simple average; second period; Fiscal policy; deficit bias; independent fiscal institutions; incumbent government; government's prerogative; government maximization program; incompetent government; expected utility; profligate government; government's competence; Fiscal councils; Fiscal rules; Central bank autonomy; Africa; Global (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 26
Date: 2016-04-08
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (22)

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Working Paper: Fiscal Councils: Rationale and Effectiveness (2016)
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