Labor Market Slack and the Output Gap: The Case of Korea
Niels-Jakob Hansen,
Joannes Mongardini and
Fan Zhang
No 2019/167, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund
Abstract:
Output gap estimates are widely used to inform macroeconomic policy decisions, including in Korea. The main determinant of these estimates is the measure of labor market slack. The traditional measure of unemployment in Korea yields an incomplete estimate of labor market slack, given that many workers prefer involuntary part-time jobs or leaving the labor force rather than registering as unemployed. This paper discusses a way in which the measure of unemployment can be broadened to yield a more accurate measure of labor market slack. This broader measure is then used to estimate the output gap using a multivariate filter, yielding a more meaningful measure of the output gap.
Keywords: WP; labor market slack; output gap estimate; labor force; discouraged worker; Potential output; labor markets; labor market resource; labor market condition; persistent output gap; output gap from the MVF; Output gap; Unemployment; Capacity utilization; Global (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 23
Date: 2019-08-02
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