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Exchange Rate Volatility and Pass-Through to Inflation in South Africa

Ken Miyajima

No 2019/277, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: Does the South African rand’s relatively large volatility affect inflation? To shed some light on this question, a standard estimation technique of exchange rate pass-through to inflation is extended to incorporate exchange rate volatility. Estimated results suggest that higher exchange rate volatility tends to increase core inflation but to a relatively limited extent in South Africa. The finding lends support to the policy of allowing the rand to float freely and work as a shock absorber, consistent with the nation’s successful inflation targeting regime.

Keywords: WP; core inflation; exchange rate volatility; price; Exchange rate pass-through; inflation; NEER depreciation; food price inflation; rand volatility; ERPT terms; exchange rate variable; volatility data; fuel price inflation; Exchange rates; Depreciation; Output gap; Africa; Global (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 27
Date: 2019-12-13
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
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Journal Article: Exchange rate volatility and pass‐through to inflation in South Africa (2020) Downloads
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