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Reduced Profitability of Green Bond Issuance: Evidence from China

Yilin Cai, Meng Feng, Yueming (Lucy) Qiu and Yi David Wang

No 2026/082, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: This paper uses a multi-time period difference-in-differences model to evaluate the effect of green bond issuance on the profitability of heavy-polluting enterprises listed on China's A-share market. Results reveal that the average treatment effect of green bond issuance on heavy-polluting firms’ ROE is significantly negative. Therefore, it suggests that green bond issuance requires issuing firms to give up a large amount of their profitability to develop green project and achieve green transformation. Heterogeneity analyses demonstrate that such issuance has a negative effect on firms’ profitability, which varies across different ownership, regions, and industries. Overall, these results are consistent with the concept that green bond issuance binds heavy-polluting companies to be more mindful of their polluting activities.

Keywords: Green Bond Issuance; Profitability; Heavy-polluting Firms; Heterogeneity; bond issuance; IMF working papers; Yilin Cai; heavy-polluting firm; Climate finance; Bonds; Corporate bonds; Climate change; Global (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 30
Date: 2026-04-10
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