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Improved Modelling Framework for Assessing the Interaction between the Energy, Agriculture, Forestry and Land Use Change Sectors: Integrating the CAPRI, LUISA-BEES, CBM and POTEnCIA models

Amarendra Sahoo (), Ignacio Perez Dominguez (), Saraha Mubareka (), Giulia Fiorese (), Giacomo Grassi (), Roberto Pilli (), Mihaly Himics, Viorel Blujdea (), Marco Follador (), Frederik Neuwahl (), Raffaele Salvucci, Mate Rozsai (), Peter Witzke () and Monika Kesting ()
Additional contact information
Saraha Mubareka: European Commission - JRC,
Giulia Fiorese: European Commission - JRC,
Giacomo Grassi: European Commission - JRC,
Roberto Pilli: European Commission - JRC,
Viorel Blujdea: European Commission - JRC,
Marco Follador: European Commission - JRC,
Frederik Neuwahl: European Commission - JRC,
Mate Rozsai: European Commission - JRC,
Peter Witzke: EuroCare GmbH, Bonn (Germany)
Monika Kesting: EuroCare GmbH, Bonn (Germany)

No JRC123172, JRC Working Papers from Joint Research Centre (Seville site)

Abstract: This report is an attempt to develop a modelling framework integrating different sectoral stand-alone models used at the JRC for policy impact assessment in the fields of agriculture, forestry, land use change and energy. The proposed quantitative framework should improve the capability of assessing greenhouse gas emissions and removals resulting from complex interactions between the agriculture, forestry, and other land use (AFOLU) sectors, and facilitate the analysis of policy scenarios relevant for a sustainable and carbon-neutral European economy. Four models are considered, for which a revised model specification and harmonization of relevant databases and model parameters is needed. The Common Agricultural Policy Regionalized Impact (CAPRI) Modelling System is a widely used large-scale multi-commodity agricultural economic model. The Land Use-based Integrated Sustainability Assessment modelling platform for BioEconomy and Ecosystem Services (LUISA-BEES) is primarily used for the ex-ante evaluation of European policies that have a direct or indirect territorial impact on the agricultural and forestry sectors. The Carbon Budget Model (CBM) is a stand-alone forestry model that simulates forest carbon dynamics. The Policy Oriented Tool for Energy and Climate Change Impact Assessment (POTEnCIA) model depicts a detailed EU energy system combining both techno-economic modules. As a 'proof of integration', this report describes the improvement of the CAPRI land use function and harmonization of related database such as to be linked to the output from the LUISA-BEES model. Moreover, forestry area projections and related carbon removals in CAPRI are improved by using direct information from the CBM model. Last but not least, the POTEnCIA model is improved by parameterizing a first generation biofuel supply curve based on CAPRI simulations. In order to test the proposed modelling framework, the report proposes a set of exploratory policy scenarios based on each model’s capabilities: reform of the Common Agricultural Policy, expansion of biofuel mandates and carbon pricing (CAPRI); implementation of spatially explicit sustainability criteria for the plantation of energy crops and afforestation (LUISA-BEES), different levels of forest harvesting (CBM) and strong decarbonisation policies (POTEnCIA).

Keywords: AFOLU; Integrated Framework; Agriculture; Forestry; Land Use Change; Energy; CAPRI; LUISA-BEES; CBM and POTENCIA (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-ene and nep-env
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Handle: RePEc:ipt:iptwpa:jrc123172