Clean Energy Technology Observatory: POTEnCIA CETO 2025 Scenario

Frederik Neuwahl (), Moritz Wegener (), Raffaele Salvucci (), Marc Jaxa-rozen (), Juan Gea Bermudez (), Przemyslaw Sikora () and Máté Rózsai ()
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Frederik Neuwahl: European Commission - JRC, https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/index_en
Moritz Wegener: European Commission - JRC, https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/index_en
Raffaele Salvucci: European Commission - JRC, https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/index_en
Marc Jaxa-rozen: European Commission - JRC, https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/index_en
Juan Gea Bermudez: European Commission - JRC, https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/index_en
Przemyslaw Sikora: European Commission - JRC, https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/index_en
Máté Rózsai: European Commission - JRC, https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/index_en

No JRC143969, JRC Research Reports from Joint Research Centre

Abstract: This report portrays the POTEnCIA CETO 2025 Scenario, a deep decarbonisation pathway for the EU’s energy system. The scenario follows an energy technology perspective in close alignment with the general objectives of the European Climate Law. To model this scenario, the JRC-in-house developed POTEnCIA model has been used, allowing for an in-depth description of the individual technology projections until 2050 derived for the accompanying CETO 2025 technology reports. The report first outlines the intrinsic methodology of the POTEnCIA model and then lists key policies and data inputs considered for the development of the POTEnCIA CETO 2025 Scenario. The projected trends of supply and demand sectors of the EU energy system are visualized and analysed. The results indicate that key energy technologies like renewable energy sources, energy storage, electrification, and carbon capture, utilisation and storage, are essential for achieving the EU’s climate targets towards 2050.

Date: 2025-11
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