Climate change, temperature extremes, and conflict: Evidence from mainland Southeast Asia

André Tashi Gasser and Bruno Lanz

No 23-05, IRENE Working Papers from IRENE Institute of Economic Research

Abstract: We exploit 0.5x0.5 degree raster data for mainland Southeast Asia from 2010 to 2020 to document a non-linear relationship between extreme temperature days and conflict. We show that the occurrence of conflict events increases with extreme maximum temperature days, whereas days with extreme minimum temperature decrease the occurrence of conflict. Because climate change makes both maximum and minimum temperature extremes more likely, these effects partially offset each other on aggregate. However, our results further suggest that the impact of extreme maximum and minimum temperature days differs for the type of conflict, actors involved and population affected, indicating complex distributional consequences.

Keywords: Climate change; adaptation; conflict; extreme temperature (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 H56 O13 P48 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 38 pages.
Date: 2023-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-dev, nep-env and nep-sea
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:irn:wpaper:23-05

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