Dynamic Winner-take-all Conflict

John Maxwell, Rafael Reuveny and Jefferson Davis
Additional contact information
Rafael Reuveny: School of Public and Environmental Affairs, Indiana University
Jefferson Davis: Stat-Math, Indiana University

No 2007-12, Working Papers from Indiana University, Kelley School of Business, Department of Business Economics and Public Policy

Abstract: This paper develops a model of dynamic conflict featuring probabilistic winner- take-all outcomes and compares its behavior to a model in which combatants emerge with a share of the conflict spoils. While these two models generate the same behavior in a one-shot game, we find that in a repeated conflict setting the winner-take-all model generates richer dynamics than the dynamics generated by the share model. Differences include outcomes that illustrate the rise and fall of great powers, the endogenous extinction of combatants, and frequent changes in the relative dominance of combatants. The model's behavior is compared to real world military, business and political conflict outcomes.

Keywords: Anarchy; Fog of War; Paradox of Power; Winner-take-all conflict (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 Q20 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pol
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http://kelley.iu.edu/riharbau/RePEc/iuk/wpaper/bep ... ll-reuveny-davis.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Dynamic Winner-Take-All Conflict (2011)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:iuk:wpaper:2007-12

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