EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

The Empirical Content of Season-of-Birth Effects: An Investigation with Turkish Data

Huzeyfe Torun () and Semih Tumen ()

No 10203, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: Although the season of birth variable is often used as an instrumental variable to estimate the rate of returns to schooling in the labor economics literature, there is an emerging consensus that the season of birth is systematically associated with later outcomes in life such as the educational and labor market success; thus, it is highly likely non-random. Using a large micro-level data set from Turkey, we argue that the degree of this non-randomness can be even larger in a developing-country context. Specifically, we show that around 20 percent of all individuals in Turkey have January as their month of birth due to a combination of geographical, seasonal, institutional, and idiosyncratic factors that lead to misreporting. We further document that being January-born strongly predicts worse socio-economic outcomes in later life. We show that this can be a serious problem in evaluating policies that define eligibility based on the month of birth – such as compulsory schooling and compulsory military service laws that set the eligibility birth date cutoff as the January 1st. We confirm the validity of this concern based on a series of regression discontinuity design exercises. We conclude that, in a developing-country context, additional caution should be exercised when using the season-of-birth variable as a statistical tool.

Keywords: season-of-birth effects; IV; education; earnings; family background; misreporting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C26 I26 J13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 34 pages
Date: 2016-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ara, nep-cwa, nep-edu, nep-lab and nep-sog
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6) Track citations by RSS feed

Published in: Demographic Research, 2017, 37, 1825-1860

Downloads: (external link)
http://ftp.iza.org/dp10203.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: The empirical content of season-of-birth effects: An investigation with Turkish data (2017) Downloads
Working Paper: The Empirical Content of Season-of-Birth Effects: An Investigation with Turkish Data (2017) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:iza:izadps:dp10203

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
IZA, Margard Ody, P.O. Box 7240, D-53072 Bonn, Germany

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) IZA, P.O. Box 7240, D-53072 Bonn, Germany. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Holger Hinte ().

 
Page updated 2020-07-28
Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp10203