The Reliability of Students' Earnings Expectations

Luis Diaz-Serrano () and William Nilsson
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Luis Diaz-Serrano: Universitat Rovira i Virgili

No 10700, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: Eliciting expectation and introducing probabilistic questions into surveys have gained important interest. In this study, we focus on the reliability of students’ earnings expectations. To what extent is observed log earnings expectations affected by random measurement error (noise)? A test-retest method is applied and reliability is found to be fairly low; about 0.59 in 2015 and about 0.67 in 2016. Particularly homogeneous samples exaggerate problems of measurement error. The analysis show how these measures of reliability can be adjusted to become more suitable to other studies, where different degrees of homogeneity are present.

Keywords: reliability; earnings expectations; measurement error (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C46 C83 I26 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 48 pages
Date: 2017-04
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Published - published in: Labor Economics, 2022, 76, 202182

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Journal Article: The reliability of students’ earnings expectations (2022)
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