A Regression Discontinuity Evaluation of Reducing Early Retirement Eligibility in Poland

Oliwia Komada, Paweł Strzelecki and Joanna Tyrowicz

No 11896, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: The reform introduced in Poland in 2009 substantially and abruptly reduced the number of workers eligible for early retirement. This paper evaluates the causal effects of this reform on labor force participation and exit to retirement. We use rich rotating panel from the Polish Labor Force Survey and exploit the discontinuity imposed by this reform. We find a statistically significant, but economically small discontinuity at the timing of the reform. The placebo test shows no similar effects in earlier or later quarters, but in a vast majority of specifications the discontinuity is not larger for the treated individuals, i.e. those whose occupation lost eligibility. We interpret these results as follows: the changes in the eligibility criteria were not instrumental in fostering the participation rates among the affected cohort, i.e. the immediate contribution to increased labor force participation of these cohorts is not economically large.

Keywords: regression discontinuity; early retirement; retirement age; Poland (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J14 J26 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 22 pages
Date: 2018-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age, nep-eur and nep-tra
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Published - published in: International Journal of Manpower, 2019, 40 (2), 286-303

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Related works:
Journal Article: A regression discontinuity evaluation of reducing early retirement eligibility in Poland (2019)
Working Paper: A regression discontinuity evaluation of reducing early retirement eligibility in Poland (2018)
Working Paper: A regression discontinuity evaluation of reducing early retirement eligibility in Poland (2018)
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