EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Voting, Contagion and the Trade-Off between Public Health and Political Rights: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from the Italian 2020 Polls

Marco Mello () and Giuseppe Moscelli ()
Additional contact information
Marco Mello: University of Surrey

No 14658, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: We exploit a quasi-experimental setting provided by an election day with multiple polls to estimate the effect of voters' turnout on the spread of new COVID-19 infections and to quantify the policy trade-off implied by postponing elections during high infection periods. We show that post-poll new COVID cases increased by 1.1% for each additional percentage point of turnout. The cost-benefits analysis based on our estimates and real political events shows that averting an early general election has saved Italy up to about e362 million in additional hospital care costs and e7.5 billion in values of life saved from COVID.

Keywords: control function; endogeneity; event-study; public health; civic capital; voting; COVID-19 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 D72 H51 I18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 75 pages
Date: 2021-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm, nep-eur, nep-hea, nep-isf and nep-pol
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
https://docs.iza.org/dp14658.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Voting, contagion and the trade-off between public health and political rights: quasi-experimental evidence from the Italian 2020 polls (2021) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:iza:izadps:dp14658

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
IZA, Margard Ody, P.O. Box 7240, D-53072 Bonn, Germany

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) IZA, P.O. Box 7240, D-53072 Bonn, Germany. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Holger Hinte ().

 
Page updated 2022-10-04
Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp14658