Cumulative Climate Shocks and Migratory Flows: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

Salvatore Di Falco (), Anna B. Kis and Martina Viarengo ()
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Salvatore Di Falco: University of Geneva
Anna B. Kis: Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva
Martina Viarengo: Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva

No 15084, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: We re-examine the effects of negative weather anomalies during the growing season on the decision to migrate in rural households in five sub-Saharan African countries. To this end we combine a multi-country household panel dataset with high-resolution gridded precipitation data. We find that while the effect of recent adverse weather shocks is on average modest, the cumulative effect of a persistent exposure to droughts over several years leads to a significant increase in the probability to migrate. The results show that more frequent adverse shocks can have more significant and long-lasting consequences in challenging economic environments.

Keywords: climate shocks; rural-urban migration; economic development (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 O15 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 35 pages
Date: 2022-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr, nep-agr, nep-dev, nep-env, nep-int and nep-mig
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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