Return versus Onward Migration: Go Back or Move On?

Govert Bijwaard and Jackline Wahba

No 15148, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: This paper examines the impact of unemployment on out-migration by distinguishing between return and onward migration and controlling for total earnings. We use Timing-of-Events models and control for the endogeneity of total earnings, unemployment and out-migration using administrative data from the Netherlands. Our findings suggest that unemployment triggers return migration more than onward migration. When total earnings are low unemployment increases the hazard of return migration. When total earnings are high the hazard rate of onward migration for unemployed immigrants increases. Thus, these findings highlight that out-migration is affected both by unemployment and by total earnings as well as by the interaction between the two.

Keywords: temporary migration; migration dynamics; unemployment; target savers (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C41 F22 J61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 58 pages
Date: 2022-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-lab, nep-mig and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
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Published - published in: Review of Income and Wealth , 2023, 69 (3), 640-667

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Journal Article: Return Versus onward Migration: Go Back or Move On? (2023)
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