Has AI Widened Employment Gaps? Tracking Early-Career Employment by Occupational Exposure in Norway

Hernaes, Øystein () and Kostøl, Andreas ()
Additional contact information
Hernaes, Øystein: Ragnar Frisch Centre for Economic Research
Kostøl, Andreas: BI Norwegian Business School

No 18767, IZA Discussion Papers from IZA Network @ LISER

Abstract: This paper uses data on the universe of private-sector employment in Norway up to February 2026 to examine whether AI exposure has contributed to a widening employment gap across occupations with varying AI exposure. Since October 2022, the month before ChatGPT's release, employment in the most exposed occupations has grown by 0.1 percent, against 0.3 percent in the least exposed occupations. We track this number on a monthly basis on the public dashboard \emph{kiindeksen.no}. The dashboard updates the full-distribution comparison each month as new administrative data arrives, allowing differential employment growth by AI exposure to be tracked over time. We also show that when we compare young workers by complete occupation quintiles of exposure, the relative decline of the most exposed quintile is estimated as an imprecise zero.

Keywords: artificial intelligence; labor market; employment; AI exposure; Norway (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J21 J23 O33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-06
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://docs.iza.org/dp18767.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:iza:izadps:dp18767

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in IZA Discussion Papers from IZA Network @ LISER Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Mark Fallak ().