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The Superstar Quest: Does Youth Talent Predict Professional Success for Female and Male Tennis Players?

Wayne Grove and Michael Jetter

No 8103, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: We estimate the relationship between international youth and professional tennis rankings. We find no difference between the predictiveness of rankings from age 14 & Under versus age 16 & Under competitions. The most persistent predictor of professional success is beating older top ranked juniors. Our results reveal stark gender differences. For example, ordinal junior rankings are more strongly associated with professional success for males than for females. In addition, future tennis stars are better signaled by U14 competition outcomes for females, but by U16 results for males.

Keywords: productivity measures; labor supply; career outcomes; tennis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D82 D91 J16 J22 J24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 10 pages
Date: 2014-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eff, nep-for and nep-spo
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Working Paper: The superstar quest: Does youth talent predict professional success for female and male tennis players? (2014) Downloads
Working Paper: The superstar quest: Does youth talent predict professional success for female and male tennis players? (2014) Downloads
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