Unemployment Transitions to Stable and Unstable Jobs Before and During the Crisis

Amparo Nagore García () and Arthur van Soest ()
Additional contact information
Amparo Nagore García: LISER (CEPS/INSTEAD)

No 8121, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: Using administrative records data from Spanish Social Security, we analyse the pattern and the determinants of individual unemployment benefit spell durations. We compare a period of expansion (2005-2007) and the recent recession (2009-2011), allowing us to determine the impact of the current crisis. In line with the duality that characterizes the Spanish labour market, we distinguish between exits to a stable job and exits to an unstable job. We estimate a Multivariate Mixed Proportional Hazard Model for each time period. We find similar effects of the crisis for stable and unstable jobs, which are particularly strong in the first year of the spell. Moreover, slight negative duration dependence is found, especially for stable jobs in the expansion period until the time of unemployment benefit expires. Individuals who are most affected by the financial crisis tend to be males, those aged 16-24 and 40-51 years, those living in regions with higher unemployment rates, individuals who are less qualified or work in manual occupations (particularly construction) and immigrants.

Keywords: dual labour markets; business cycle; unemployment durations; re-employment probability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C41 E32 J64 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 36 pages
Date: 2014-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eur, nep-lab, nep-lma and nep-mac
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

Downloads: (external link)
https://docs.iza.org/dp8121.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Unemployment Transitions to Stable and Unstable Jobs Before and During the Crisis (2014)
Working Paper: Unemployment Transitions to Stable and Unstable Jobs Before and During the Crisis (2014)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:iza:izadps:dp8121

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
IZA, Margard Ody, P.O. Box 7240, D-53072 Bonn, Germany

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) IZA, P.O. Box 7240, D-53072 Bonn, Germany. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Holger Hinte ().