Modeling for the world crude oil and natural gas markets
Shibata Tsubasa
No 584, IDE Discussion Papers from Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO)
Abstract:
Crude oil and natural gas have been essential energy sources and play a crucial role in the world economy. Changes in energy prices significantly impact economic growth. This study builds an econometric model to illustrate the substitute relation between crude oil and natural gas markets. Additionally, the determination of the oil and natural gas prices are endogenized, assuming imperfect competition to reflect a real market strategy. Our empirical results show that the overall performance of this system is acceptable, and the model can be applied to policy analysis for determining monetary or energy policy by introducing this model to the more comprehensive system.
Keywords: Energy; Petroleum; Natural gas; Econometric model; Demand–supply; Imperfect competition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C30 Q41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-03-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene
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Published in IDE Discussion Paper = IDE Discussion Paper, No. 584. 2016-03-01
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