 The trade impact of U.S.-China conflict in Southeast AsiaNo 873, IDE Discussion Papers from Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO) Abstract: This study empirically examines the effects of the U.S.-China tariff war on exports to the U.S. from Southeast Asian countries and these countries’ imports from China. To do that, we estimate various equatio ns for monthly trade during the period from January 2018 to December 2019. As a result, we found t hat some Southeast Asian countries increased their exports to the U.S. At the same time, some Southea st Asian countries also increased their imports from China. Most countries experienced either an increas e in exports to the U.S. or an increase in imports from China, but not both. Exceptions include Cambo dia and Vietnam, which had increases in both categories. In particular, we found some suggestive eviden ce that certain products made in China are re-exported to the U.S. through these countries to sidestep the tariffs imposed by the U.S. on China. Keywords: ASEAN|US-China; trade; war|Tariffs (search for similar items in EconPapers) Published in IDE Discussion Paper = IDE Discussion Paper, No. 873. 2022-10 Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:jet:dpaper:dpaper873 Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from Access Statistics for this paper More papers in IDE Discussion Papers from Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO) Contact information at EDIRC. |
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