Estimation of Vulnerability to Poverty Using a Multilevel Longitudinal Model: Evidence from the Philippines

Christian Mina and Katsushi Imai

No DP2015-16, Discussion Paper Series from Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University

Abstract: This study estimates household vulnerability in the Philippines using a three-level and longitudinal linear random-coefficient model whereby vulnerability is decomposed into idiosyncratic and covariate components. Our three-wave panel data covering the period 2003-2009 allow us to analyse poverty situations in both vulnerability and poverty persistence dimensions. A majority of the poor and a third of the non-poor are found to be vulnerable to unobservable shocks, while more susceptible to unobservable idiosyncratic shocks than to covariate shocks. Adequate safety nets should be provided for vulnerable households with less-educated and agriculturally-engaged or jobless heads, rural dwellers, or with more members and/or dependents.

Keywords: Vulnerability; Poverty; Multilevel model; Panel data; The Philippines (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 I32 O15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 48 pages
Date: 2015-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-dev and nep-sea
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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https://www.rieb.kobe-u.ac.jp/academic/ra/dp/English/DP2015-16.pdf First version, 2015 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Estimation of Vulnerability to Poverty Using a Multilevel Longitudinal Model: Evidence from the Philippines (2017)
Working Paper: Estimation of Vulnerability to Poverty Using a Multilevel Longitudinal Model: Evidence from the Philippines (2016)
Working Paper: Estimation of Vulnerability to Poverty Using a Multilevel Longitudinal Model: Evidence from the Philippines (2016)
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