Fertility, Regional Demographics, and Economic Integration

Hiroshi Goto and Keiya Minamimura
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Keiya Minamimura: Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University

No DP2015-17, Discussion Paper Series from Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University

Abstract: To explain the links between population distribution and economic integration, we construct a spatial economics model with endogenous fertility. A higher population concentration increases real wages and child-raising costs, thus lowering the fertility rate. However, people migrate to more populated regions to obtain higher real wages. We show that mobility across regions results in more people flowing into highly populated regions, but lowers fertility rates there. The population growth path resembles a logistic curve in the early phase, but population decreases in the last phase. Additionally, economic integration leads to population concentration and decreases population size in the whole economy.

Keywords: Population change; Migration; Agglomeration; Trade freeness (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F15 J13 R12 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 45 pages
Date: 2015-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-geo, nep-gro, nep-mig and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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https://www.rieb.kobe-u.ac.jp/academic/ra/dp/English/DP2015-17.pdf First version, 2015 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Fertility, Regional Demographics, and Economic Integration (2014)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:kob:dpaper:dp2015-17

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