The Effects of Child Mortality Changes on Two Income Groups and Macroeconomics

Hideki Nakamura

No 920, KIER Working Papers from Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research

Abstract: This study considers uncertainty about the number of surviving children. Under prohibition of child labor, a higher survival probability of a child can increase opportunities for education investment as the fertility rate declines with a temporary increase in the number of surviving children. However, per capita GDP may decrease until the start of education investment. When people accumulate their human capital, the effect of an increase in the survival probability would be ambiguous. By applying panel estimation, we examine economic development with the effect of child mortality on the fertility rate and number of surviving children.

Keywords: Child mortality; Uncertainty about the number of surviving children; Escape from poverty by poor people; Child labor; Panel estimation. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I10 I18 J13 O15 O50 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 30 pages
Date: 2015-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-hea
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:kyo:wpaper:920

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