Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series

From Economics, The University of Manchester
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142: Intermediation Costs and Welfare

António Antunes, Tiago Cavalcanti and Anne Villamil

141: A threshold cointegration analysis of interest rate pass-through to UK mortgage rates

Ralf Becker, Denise Osborn and Dilem Yildirim

140: Corruption, Fiscal Policy, and Growth: A Unified Approach

Sugata Ghosh and Kyriakos Neanidis

139: Humanitarian Aid, Fertility, and Economic Growth

Kyriakos Neanidis

138: Tax Evasion, the Underground Economy and Financial Development

Keith Blackburn, Niloy Bosey and Salvatore Capasso

137: Growth and Development Under Alternative Corruption Regimes

Keith Blackburn and Yuanyuan Wang

136: Tracking Unemployment in the North West Through Recession and Forecasting Recovery

Michael Artis and Marianne Sensier

135: Innovation, Public Capital, and Growth

Pierre-Richard Agénor and Kyriakos Neanidis

134: Uncertainty, Entrepreneurship and the Organisation of Corruption

Otilia Boldea, Alastair Hall and Sanggohn Han

133: Uncertainty, Entrepreneurship and the Organisation of Corruption

Keith Blackburn and Yuanyuan Wang

132: Changes in International Business Cycle Affiliations

Erdenebat Bataa, Denise Osborn, Marianne Sensier and Dick van Dijk

131: Catching-up, then falling behind: Comparative productivity growth between Spain and the United Kingdom, 1950-2004

George Chouliarakis and Monica Correa-Lopez

130: A Fair Wage Model of Unemployment with Inertia in Fairness Perceptions

George Chouliarakis and Mónica Correa-López

129: Coping With Uncertainty: Historical and Real-Time Estimates Of The Natural Unemployment Rate and The Uk Monetary Policy

George Chouliarakis

128: Entrepreneurs, Legal Institutions and Firm Dynamics

Neus Herranz, Stefan Krasa and Anne P. Villamil

127: Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models

Alastair Hall, Atsushi Inoue, James Nason and Barbara Rossi

126: Estimation and Inference in Unstable Nonlinear Least Squares Models

Otilia Boldea and Alastair Hall

125: Inference regarding multiple structural changes in linear models with endogenous regressors

Alastair Hall, Sanggohn Han and Otilia Boldea

124: Capital Requirements and Business Cycles with Credit Market Imperfections

Pierre-Richard Agénor, Koray Alper and Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva

122: Monetary Policy and Real Wage Cyclicality

Chandranath Amarasekara and George Bratsiotis

121: Modelling International Linkages for Large Open Economies: US and Euro Area

Mardi Dungey and Denise Osborn

120: Monetary Shocks and Central Bank Liquidity with Credit Market Imperfections

Pierre-Richard Agénor and Koray Alper

119: Structural Breaks in the International Transmission of Inflation

Erdenebat Bataa, Denise Osborn, Marianne Sensier and Dick van Dijk

118: Common and spatial drivers in regional business cycles

Michael Artis, Christian Dreger and Konstantin Kholodilin

117: Escape Dynamics and Policy Specification

Michele Berardi

116: Infrastructure, Women’s Time Allocation, and Economic Development

P R Agénor and M Agénor

115: Public Capital, Health Persistence and Poverty Traps

Pierre-Richard Agénor

114: Financial Dollarization: Short-Run Determinants in Transition Economies

M. Emranul Haque and Kyriakos C. Neanidis

113: Financial Dollarization: Short-Run Determinants in Transition Economies

Kyriakos Neanidis and Christos Savva

112: Expectations, learning and policy rule

Michele Berardi

111: The UK Intranational Trade Cycle

Michael Artis and Toshihiro Okubo

110: Globalization and Business Cycle Transmission

Michael Artis and Toshihiro Okubo

109: Identifying Changes in Mean, Seasonality, Persistence and Volatility for G7 and Euro Area Inflation

Erdenebat Bataa, Denise Osborn, Marianne Sensier and Dick van Dijk

108: Public and Private Maintenance Expenditure in a Growing Economy

Sakir Yilmaz

107: Cross Price Effects, Nominal Rigidity and Endogenous Persistence

George Bratsiotis

106: On the Macroeconomics of Microfinance

Soyolmaa Batbekh and Keith Blackburn

105: Excess Liquidity, Bank Pricing Rules, and Monetary Policy

Pierre-Richard Agénor and Karim El Aynaoui

104: Fundamentalists vs. chartists: learning and predictor choice dynamics

Michele Berardi

103: Comparing Seasonal Forecasts of Industrial Production

Keith Blackburn, Kyriakos C. Neanidis and M. Emranul Haque

102: Comparing Seasonal Forecasts of Industrial Production

Pedro Gouveia, Denise Osborn and Paulo Rodrigues

101: The Intranational Business Cycle: Evidence from Japan

Michael Artis and Toshihiro Okubo

100: Learning in a Credit Economy

Tiziana Assenzay and Michele Berardi

99: US Consumer Inflation Expectations: Evidence Regarding Learning, Accuracy and Demographics

Robert Anderson

98: Public Investment and Growth: The Role of Corruption

M. Emranul Haque and Richard Kneller

97: Is Volatility Good for Growth? Evidence from the G7

Elena Andreou, Alessandra Pelloni and Marianne Sensier

96: Co-movements between US and UK stock prices: the roles of macroeconomic information and time-varying conditional correlations

Nektarios Aslanidis, Denise Osborn and Marianne Sensier

95: Aid Allocation, Growth and Welfare with Productive Public Goods

Pierre-Richard Agénor and Sakir Yilmaz

94: Contracting Models of the Phillips Curve Empirical Estimates for Middle-Income Countries

Pierre-Richard Agénor and Nihal Bayraktar

93: Monetary Policy and External Shocks in a Dollarized Economy with Credit Market Imperfections

Koray Alper

92: Business Cycle Synchronization of the Euro Area with the New and Negotiating Member Countries

M. Emranul Haque and Richard Kneller