Economic Performance and Political Outcomes: An Analysis of the 1995 Turkish Parliamentary Election Results
Ali Akarca () and
Aysıt Tansel ()
No 401, ERC Working Papers from ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University
1995 Turkish parliamentary election was held almost under the conditions of a controlled experiment. The unique cross-section data pertaining to this election and the economic and political conditions surrounding it were utilized to study the relationship between the government’s economic performance and the vote shares of political parties. Turkish voters are found to be myopic, not looking back beyond the election year in assessing the government’s economic performance. A good performance is found to benefit the primary incumbent party at the expense of extremist opposition parties and a bad performance is found to benefit extremist opposition parties at the expense of the primary party in power. The junior party in a coalition government and the centrist opposition parties appear to be unaffected by the economic conditions. Evidence found is consistent with a strategic voting by the electorate, to diffuse power and/or to try parties and leaders that were not tried before or last tried a long time ago. These conclusions are essentially in conformity with the literature on other countries.
Keywords: Turkey; election (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 22 pages
Date: 2004-01, Revised 2004-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm, nep-cwa and nep-pol
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
http://erc.metu.edu.tr/en/system/files/menu/series04/0401.pdf First version, 2004 (application/pdf)
Working Paper: Economic Performance and Political Outcomes: An Analysis of The 1995 Turkish Parliamentary Election Results (2003)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:met:wpaper:0401
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in ERC Working Papers from ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Erol Taymaz ().