 Regional Dimensions of the Australian Business CycleRobert Dixon and David Shepherd No 1088, Department of Economics - Working Papers Series from The University of Melbourne Abstract: This paper deals with the identification of, and explanations for, co-movement in regional business cycles using data for Australian states and territories (regions). We show that both raw growth rates and the deviations from a Hodrick-Prescott trend reflect noise in the series as well as any cycle but that it is possible to manipulate the deviations from a Hodrick-Prescott trend in a simple way so as to reveal its cyclical component. We measure the extent of co-movements in employment fluctuations amongst the regions. We find that cross-region correlations in employment cycles can be explained by regional industry structure and size while the noise component of regional fluctuations appears instead to be related to physical geography. Keywords: Regional Employment; Business Cycles; Autoregressive Modelling; Co-Movement (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mlb:wpaper:1088 Access Statistics for this paper More papers in Department of Economics - Working Papers Series from The University of Melbourne Department of Economics, The University of Melbourne, 4th Floor, FBE Building, Level 4, 111 Barry Street. Victoria, 3010, Australia. Contact information at EDIRC. |
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