It’s not only WHAT is said, it’s also WHO the speaker is. Evaluating the effectiveness of central bank communication

Marek Rozkrut ()

No 47, NBP Working Papers from Narodowy Bank Polski

Abstract: On the basis of a unique database of policy makers’ comments, we find that central bank communication does influence behavior of financial markets. This effect is asymmetric and depends on the contents and direction of the statements. Moreover, we investigate whether individual characteristics of MPC members may influence their ability to affect the asset prices. We find that market participants are most vigilant to the comments made by policy makers who are relatively reticent, usually win voting and match their words with deeds. Moreover, the impact of statements on financial market behavior depends on whether a speaker represents a hawkish, dovish or neutral faction within the committee. Finally, we provide evidence that central bank communication affects the predictability of monetary policy decisions.

Keywords: Monetary policy; Central bank; Transparency; Communication (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E43 E52 E58 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 40
Date: 2008-04
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nbp:nbpmis:47

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