Fiscal Policy in the Aftermath of 9/11
Martin Eichenbaum and
Jonas Fisher
No 10430, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
Abstract:
This paper investigates the nature of U.S. fiscal policy in the aftermath of 9/11. We argue that the recent dramatic fall in the government surplus and the large fall in tax rates cannot be accounted for by either the state of the U.S. economy as of 9/11 or as the typical response of fiscal policy to a large exogenous rise in military expenditures. Our evidence suggests that, had tax rates responded in the way they `normally' do to large exogenous changes in government spending, aggregate output would have been lower and the surplus would not have changed by much. The unusually large fall in tax rates had an expansionary impact on output and was the primary force underlying the large decline in the surplus. Our results do not bear directly on the question of whether the decline in tax rates and the decline in the surplus after 9/11 were desirable or not.
JEL-codes: E1 E6 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004-04
Note: EFG ME PE
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)
Published as Eichenbaum, Martin & Fisher, Jonas D M, 2005. "Fiscal Policy in the Aftermath of 9/11," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(1), pages 1-22, February.
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Journal Article: Fiscal Policy in the Aftermath of 9/11 (2005)
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