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Estimating the Intertemporal Risk-Return Tradeoff Using the Implied Cost of Capital

Lubos Pastor, Meenakshi Sinha and Bhaskaran Swaminathan

No 11941, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: We reexamine the time-series relation between the conditional mean and variance of stock market returns. To proxy for the conditional mean return, we use the implied cost of capital, computed using analyst forecasts. The usefulness of this proxy is shown in simulations. In empirical analysis, we construct the time series of the implied cost of capital for the G-7 countries. We find strong support for a positive intertemporal mean-variance relation at both the country level and the world market level. Some of our evidence is consistent with international integration of the G-7 financial markets.

JEL-codes: G1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fin
Note: AP
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

Published as Pastor, Lubos, Meenakshi Sinha and Bhaskaran Swaminathan. “Estimating the Intertemporal Risk-Return Tradeoff Using the Implied Cost of Capital.” Journal of Finance 63 (2008): 2859–2897.

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Related works:
Journal Article: Estimating the Intertemporal Risk–Return Tradeoff Using the Implied Cost of Capital (2008) Downloads
Working Paper: Estimating the Intertemporal Risk-Return Tradeoff Using the Implied Cost of Capital (2006) Downloads
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