A New Keynesian Perspective on the Great Recession

Peter Ireland

No 16420, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: With an estimated New Keynesian model, this paper compares the "Great Recession" of 2007-09 to its two immediate predecessors in 1990-91 and 2001. The model attributes all three downturns to a similar mix of aggregate demand and supply disturbances. The most recent series of adverse shocks lasted longer and became more severe, however, prolonging and deepening the Great Recession. In addition, the zero lower bound on the nominal interest rate prevented monetary policy from stabilizing the US economy as it had previously; counterfactual simulations suggest that without this constraint, output would have recovered sooner and more quickly in 2009.

JEL-codes: E32 E52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-09
Note: ME
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

Published as Peter N. Ireland, 2011. "A New Keynesian Perspective on the Great Recession," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(1), pages 31-54, 02.

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Related works:
Journal Article: A New Keynesian Perspective on the Great Recession (2011)
Journal Article: A New Keynesian Perspective on the Great Recession (2011)
Working Paper: A New Keynesian Perspective on the Great Recession (2010)
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