Community-Wide Job Loss and Teenage Fertility

Elizabeth Ananat, Anna Gassman-Pines and Christina M. Gibson-Davis

No 19003, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: We estimate the effects of economic downturns on the birth rates of 15- to 19-year-olds, using county-level business closings and layoffs in North Carolina over 1990-2010 as a plausibly exogenous source of variation in the strength of the local economy. We find little effect of job losses on the white teen birth rate. For black teens, however, job losses to 1% of the working-age population decrease the birth rate by around 2%. Birth declines start five months after the job loss and then last for over a year. Linking the timing of job losses and conceptions suggests that black teen births decline due to increased terminations and perhaps also changes in pre-pregnancy behaviors; national data on risk behaviors also provide evidence that black teens reduce sexual activity and increase contraception use in response to job losses. Job losses seven to nine months after conception do not affect teen birth rates, indicating that teens do not anticipate job losses and lending confidence that job losses are "shocks" that can be viewed as quasi-experimental variation. We also find evidence that relatively advantaged black teens disproportionately abort after job losses, implying that the average child born to a black teen in the wake of job loss is relatively more disadvantaged.

JEL-codes: J13 J65 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dem and nep-ure
Note: CH
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (23)

Published as Demography December 2013, Volume 50, Issue 6, pp 2151-2171 Community-Wide Job Loss and Teenage Fertility: Evidence From North Carolina Elizabeth Oltmans Ananat , Anna Gassman-Pines, Christina Gibson-Davis

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.nber.org/papers/w19003.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nbr:nberwo:19003

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
http://www.nber.org/papers/w19003

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A.. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().