Wedges, Labor Market Behavior, and Health Insurance Coverage under the Affordable Care Act

Trevor Gallen and Casey Mulligan

No 19770, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: The Affordable Care Act's taxes, subsidies, and regulations significantly alter terms of trade in both goods and factor markets. We use a multi-sector (intra-national) trade model to predict and quantify consequences of the Affordable Care Act for the incidence of health insurance coverage and patterns of labor usage. If and when the new exchange plans are competitive with employer-sponsored insurance (ESI), our model suggests that more than 20 million people will leave ESI as a consequence of the law. Behavioral changes that are captured in the model could add about 3 million participants to the new exchange plans: beyond those that would participate solely as the result of employer decisions to stop offering coverage and beyond those who would have been uninsured. Industries and regions will grow, decline, and change coverage on the basis of their relative demand for skilled labor.

JEL-codes: H3 I13 I18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-hea
Note: EH PE
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

Published as Trevor S. Gallen & Casey B. Mulligan, 2018. "Wedges, Labor Market Behavior, and Health Insurance Coverage under the Affordable Care Act," National Tax Journal, vol 71(1), pages 75-120.

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Journal Article: Wedges, Labor Market Behavior, and Health Insurance Coverage under the Affordable Care Act (2018)
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