Macroeconomic Effects of Medicare
Juan Carlos Conesa (),
Daniela Costa (),
Parisa Kamali (),
Timothy Kehoe (),
Vegard M. Nygard,
Gajendran Raveendranathan and
Akshar Saxena ()
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Vegard Mokleiv Nygaard ()
No 23389, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
This paper develops an overlapping generations model to study the macroeconomic effects of an unexpected elimination of Medicare. We find that a large share of the elderly respond by substituting Medicaid for Medicare. Consequently, the government saves only 46 cents for every dollar cut in Medicare spending. We argue that a comparison of steady states is insufficient to evaluate the welfare effects of the reform. In particular, we find lower ex-ante welfare gains from eliminating Medicare when we account for the costs of transition. Lastly, we find that a majority of the current population benefits from the reform but that aggregate welfare, measured as the dollar value of the sum of wealth equivalent variations, is higher with Medicare.
JEL-codes: E21 E62 H51 I13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
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Published as Juan Carlos Conesa & Daniela Costa & Parisa Kamali & Timothy J. Kehoe & Vegard M. Nygard & Gajendran Raveendranathan & Akshar Saxena, 2017. "Macroeconomic effects of Medicare," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, .
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nbr:nberwo:23389
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