Demography, Unemployment, Automation, and Digitalization: Implications for the Creation of (Decent) Jobs, 2010–2030

David Bloom, Mathew McKenna and Klaus Prettner

No 24835, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: Globally, an estimated 734 million jobs will be required between 2010 and 2030 to accommodate recent and ongoing demographic shifts, account for plausible changes in labour force participation rates, and achieve target unemployment rates of at or below 4 percent for adults and at or below 8 percent for youth. The facts that i) most new jobs will be required in countries where “decent” jobs are less prevalent and ii) workers in many occupations are increasingly subject to risks of automation further compound the challenge of job creation, which is already quite sizable in historical perspective. Failure to create the jobs that are needed through 2030 would put currently operative social security systems under pressure and undermine efforts to guarantee the national social protection floors enshrined in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

JEL-codes: J1 J11 J2 J23 J89 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age, nep-dem and nep-lma
Note: DAE DEV LS
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (15)

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Working Paper: Demography, Unemployment, Automation, and Digitalization: Implications for the Creation of (Decent) Jobs, 2010–2030 (2018)
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