Learning about the Neighborhood
Zhenyu Gao,
Michael Sockin and
Wei Xiong
No 26907, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
Abstract:
We develop a model to analyze information aggregation and learning in housing markets. In the presence of pervasive informational frictions, housing prices serve as important signals to households and capital producers about the economic strength of a neighborhood. Our model provides a novel mechanism for amplification through learning in which noise from the housing market can propagate to the local economy, distorting not only migration into the neighborhood, but also the supply of capital and labor. We provide consistent evidence of our model implications for housing price volatility and new construction using data from the recent U.S. housing cycle.
JEL-codes: E22 E44 G1 R3 R31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020-03
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Published as Zhenyu Gao & Michael Sockin & Wei Xiong & Itay Goldstein, 2021. "Learning about the Neighborhood," The Review of Financial Studies, vol 34(9), pages 4323-4372.
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