COVID-19 Vaccination Mandates and Vaccine Uptake

Alexander Karaivanov, Dongwoo Kim, Shih En Lu and Hitoshi Shigeoka

No 29563, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: We evaluate the impact of government mandated proof of vaccination requirements for access to public venues and non-essential businesses on COVID-19 vaccine uptake. We find that the announcement of a mandate is associated with a rapid and significant surge in new vaccinations (more than 60\% increase in weekly first doses) using the variation in the timing of these measures across Canadian provinces in a difference-in-differences approach. Time-series analysis for each province and for France, Italy and Germany corroborates this finding, and we estimate cumulative gains of up to 5 percentage points in provincial vaccination rates and 790,000 or more first doses for Canada as a whole as of October 31, 2021 (5 to 13 weeks after the provincial mandate announcements). We also find large vaccination gains in France (3 to 5 mln first doses), Italy (around 6 mln) and Germany (around 3.5 mln) 11 to 16 weeks after the proof of vaccination mandate announcements.

JEL-codes: C23 I12 I18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-hea
Note: AG CH EH LE LS PE
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

Published as Alexander Karaivanov & Dongwoo Kim & Shih En Lu & Hitoshi Shigeoka, 2022. "COVID-19 vaccination mandates and vaccine uptake," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 6(12), pages 1615-1624, December.

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Journal Article: COVID-19 vaccination mandates and vaccine uptake (2022)
Working Paper: COVID-19 Vaccination Mandates and Vaccine Uptake (2021)
Working Paper: COVID-19 Vaccination Mandates and Vaccine Uptake (2021)
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