Target Retirement Fund: A Variant on Target Date Funds that uses Deferred Life Annuities rather than Bonds to Reduce Risk as Retirement Approaches

John B. Shoven and Daniel B. Walton

No 30817, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: This paper evaluates a new variant of the popular target date funds used in employer-based retirement savings plans. We call this new variant a “target retirement plan.” Instead of increasing the allocation to bond funds as retirement approaches, a target retirement fund gradually purchases deferred life annuities beginning at age 50. In the particular straw model target retirement fund examined in the paper, the defined contribution participant makes deferred life annuity purchases at ages 50, 52, 54, 56, 58, 60 and 62. We compare how a target retirement fund participant would fare compared with someone who stays with a traditional TDF until retirement and then buys an immediate life annuity. We examine 1,000 possible 30-year futures for stock returns, bond fund returns and Treasury interest rates. The main result from this paper is that buying a retirement annuity in advance (by accumulating deferred life annuities) is superior to sticking with a Target Date Fund until retirement and then buying an immediate annuity in most scenarios of future stock returns, interest rates and bond returns.

JEL-codes: G11 G22 J14 J26 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age and nep-rmg
Note: AG
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