Policy Packages and Policy Space: Lessons from COVID-19

Katharina Bergant and Kristin Forbes

No 31254, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: This paper uses the onset of COVID-19 to examine how countries construct their policy packages in response to a severe negative shock. We use several new datasets to track the use of a large variety of policy tools: announced fiscal stimulus (both above- and below-the-line), monetary policy (through interest rates, asset purchases, liquidity support and swap lines), foreign currency intervention, adjustments to macroprudential regulations (including the countercyclical capital buffer) and changes in capital controls (on inflows and outflows). The results suggest that pre-existing policy space was usually more important than other country characteristics and the extent of “stress” (in economic, financial, and health measures) in determining how a country responded to COVID-19. The notable exception is for fiscal stimulus, for which existing policy space did not act as a significant constraint in advanced economies. This is a sharp contrast to results for earlier episodes—although advanced economies with higher debt levels may have been constrained in how they provided stimulus (with more below-the-line commitments). Moreover, the use of (and space available) for each policy tool usually did not affect a country’s use of other policies. This suggests that countries are not coordinating their tools optimally in an integrated framework, especially when policy space is limited for certain tools.

JEL-codes: E5 E6 F3 H5 H6 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-hea, nep-mfd and nep-opm
Note: IFM ME
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Published as Katharina Bergant & Kristin Forbes, 2023. "Policy Packages and Policy Space: Lessons from COVID-19," European Economic Review, .

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Working Paper: Policy Packages and Policy Space: Lessons from COVID-19 (2022)
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