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GDP and Temperature: Evidence on Cross-Country Response Heterogeneity

Kimberly Berg, Chadwick Curtis and Nelson Mark

No 31327, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: We use local projections to estimate the cross-country distribution of real GDP per capita growth impulse responses to global and idiosyncratic temperature shocks. Negative growth responses to global temperature at longer horizons are found for all Group of Seven countries while positive responses are found for seven of the nine poorest countries. Global temperature shocks have negative effects on growth for around half of the countries and seemingly anomalous positive effects for the other half. After controlling for latitude and average temperature, positive growth responses to global temperature shocks are more likely for countries that are poorer, have experienced slower growth, are less educated (lower high school attainment), less open to trade, and more authoritarian.

JEL-codes: E23 O13 O50 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-env and nep-opm
Note: EEE
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Journal Article: GDP and temperature: Evidence on cross-country response heterogeneity (2024) Downloads
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