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Intertemporal Choice Bracketing and the Measurement of Time Preferences

Yonas Alem, John Loeser and Aprajit Mahajan

No 32683, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: Economists routinely rationalize financial behaviors and prominent empirical anomalies using time preferences inferred from money earlier or later (MEL) responses; yet theory suggests such choices could instead reflect investment returns. We conduct a lab-in-the-field experiment in Kenya combining repeated MEL, randomized large cash transfers, and an illiquid savings product. Neither time preferences nor marginal investment returns exclusively rationalize choices: randomized cash transfers significantly affect MEL responses, yet subjects also fail to arbitrage across economically equivalent MEL and savings opportunities. However, we provide evidence that heterogeneity in time preferences drives the predictive power of MEL for savings decisions, rationalizing routine practice.

JEL-codes: O10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cbe, nep-dcm and nep-exp
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