EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

The Term Structure of Interest Rates and Its Role in Monetary Policy for The European Central Bank

Arturo Estrella and Frederic Mishkin ()

No 5279, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: This paper examines the relationship of the term structure of interest rates to monetary policy instruments and to subsequent real activity and inflation in both Europe and the United States. The results show that monetary policy is an important determinant of the term structure spread, but it unlikely to be the only determinant. In addition, there is significant predictive power for both real activity and inflation. The yield curve is thus a simple and accurate measure that should be viewed as one piece of useful information which, along with other information, can be used to help guide European monetary policy.

Date: 1995-09
Note: ME
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (19) Track citations by RSS feed

Published as as "The predictive power of the term structure of interest rates in Europe and the United States: Implications for the European Central Bank", European Economic Review. Volume: 41 Issue: 7 (July 1997) Pages: 1375-1401

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.nber.org/papers/w5279.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: The term structure of interest rates and its role in monetary policy for the European Central Bank (1995) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nbr:nberwo:5279

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
http://www.nber.org/papers/w5279

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A.. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().

 
Page updated 2019-08-10
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:5279