Job Loss and Retirement Behavior of Older Men

Sewin Chan and Ann Stevens

No 6920, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: This paper uses data from the Health and Retirement Study to examine the employment and retirement behavior of men aged fifty and above who have experienced an involuntary job loss. Hazard models for returning to work and for exiting post-displacement employment are estimated and used to examine work patterns for ten years following a job loss. The findings show that a job loss results in large and lasting effects on future employment probabilities, and that these effects vary with the age of the worker. Displaced workers in their fifties are estimated to have a three in four chance of returning to work within two years after a job loss, whereas for a 62-year-old job loser, the probability is less than a third. Once re-employed, men 50 and above face significantly higher probabilities of exiting the workforce than do workers who have not experienced a recent job loss; however, the direction of this effect gradually reverses over time. The net outcome of these entry and exit rates is a substantial gap between the employment rates of men who have and have not lost jobs, that lasts at least seven years.

JEL-codes: J26 J64 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1999-02
Note: LS
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

Published as Journal of Labor Economics, Volume 19, Issue 2, (April 2001) Pages: 484-521

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Working Paper: Job Loss and Retirement Behavior of Older Men (1999)
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