Co-evolution of public transport access and ridership

Hema Rayaprolu and David Levinson ()
Additional contact information
David Levinson: TransportLab, School of Civil Engineering, University of Sydney

Working Papers from University of Minnesota: Nexus Research Group

Abstract: While transport infrastructure and travel demand are known to be correlated, their causal relationship has not been systematically studied. Using Granger causality tests (previously applied to transport vs. economic growth, and land use vs. transport), this research examines the co-evolution of public transport access and ridership in Greater Sydney over more than a century (from 1855 onward). The authors hypothesize a mutual feedback between transit ridership and access, which is confirmed in all models estimated—between aggregate transit ridership and access, station-level ridership and access, and local (mesh-block) transit mode share and access. The causal link is more evident in disaggregate models, and stronger between ridership and job access than between ridership and population access (when employment data are available). This is the first longitudinal study of the causal relationship between transit access and ridership. The findings strengthen the case for using access as a planning measure and lay groundwork for evolutionary strategic transport modeling.

Keywords: transportation; accessibility; public transport; land use; transport networks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: R40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Published in Journal of Transport Geography, Volume 116 (April 2024) 103844

Downloads: (external link)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2024.103844 First version, 2024 (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nex:wpaper:transportist-2024-coevolution-11

DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2024.103844

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Working Papers from University of Minnesota: Nexus Research Group Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by David Levinson ().