One Swallow Doesn't Make a Summer: New Evidence on Anchoring Effects

Zacharias Maniadis, Fabio Tufano and John List

No 2013-07, Discussion Papers from The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham

Abstract: Some researchers have argued that anchoring in economic valuations casts doubt on the assumption of consistent and stable preferences. We present new evidence that questions the robustness of certain anchoring results. We then present a theoretical framework that provides insights into why we should be cautious of initial empirical findings in general. The model importantly highlights that the rate of false positives depends not only on the observed significance level, but also on statistical power, research priors, and the number of scholars exploring the question. Importantly, a few independent replications dramatically increase the chances that a given original finding is true.

Keywords: Anchoring; Methodology; Replication; Willingness to Accept; Experiment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-exp
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (53)

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Related works:
Journal Article: One Swallow Doesn't Make a Summer: New Evidence on Anchoring Effects (2014)
Working Paper: One Swallow Does not Make a Summer: New Evidence on Anchoring Effects (2013)
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