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Partial Fertility Recuperation in Spain Two Years After the Onset of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Peter Fallesen and Marco Cozzani
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Marco Cozzani: European University Institute

No 2m5pr, SocArXiv from Center for Open Science

Abstract: Following the onset COVID-19 pandemic’s, a host of countries saw drastic fertility declines. Yet so far it remains unclear whether affected populations subsequently have recuperated the fertility declines, and if so, if the recuperation is equally distributed. We use vital statistics on Spain, the European country experiencing the most severe fertility decline of the pandemic, to examine these questions. By December 2021, Spain had only seen a partial recuperation of the fertility with large heterogeneity. Mothers at the beginning and the end of the reproductive age and those transitioning to first child have not yet recuperated, whereas mother in the middle of the fertility window and higher order births have fully recuperated. The findings suggest large consequences for population structure and ultimate childlessness in Spain.

Date: 2023-01-10
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DOI: 10.31219/

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