Fear to Vote: Explosions, Salience, and Elections

Juan Vargas, Miguel E. Purroy, Felipe Coy, Sergio Perilla and Mounu Prem

No dw9vn_v1, SocArXiv from Center for Open Science

Abstract: We study how antipersonnel landmines thwart the consolidation of post-conflict democracy. We do so by exploiting the randomness in the timing of landmine explosions relative to election days, comparing the electoral outcomes of voting polls located close to a pre-election explosion with those near a post-election blast. We show that landmine explosions are salient stimuli that produce fear, reducing political participation. While the turnout reduction persists over time and takes place across the ideological spectrum, explosions induce shifts in the voting patterns of individuals who do vote, which are consistent with emotional drivers and hurt specific political parties.

Date: 2022-07-07
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Related works:
Working Paper: Fear to Vote: Explosions, Salience, and Elections (2024)
Working Paper: Fear to Vote Explosions, Salience, and Elections (2023)
Working Paper: Fear to Vote: Explosions, Salience, and Elections (2023)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:socarx:dw9vn_v1

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/dw9vn_v1

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